Reliable-Gnat
0xb9d2b5b105dc7c0fe651d4015f9627f4007ffb68
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$618.92
Total PnL
$-13.79
Realised
$47.60
Win rate
87%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
29000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$43.50
$14.50
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
28000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
27215 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$40.82
$13.61
- YES
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
23999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$36.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
23000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$34.50
$11.50
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
19999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$30.00
$10.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
18007 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$27.01
$9.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
17000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.50
$8.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.11May 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.26May 14, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.20May 14, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.06May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.02May 14, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.04May 14, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.08May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.23May 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.08May 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.02May 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.08May 13, 23:33 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".