Failing-Island
0xb9df039d46608a6c160b5b257e0642ff8c23baf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.01
Total PnL
$-14.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Hulk" or "Hulkster" this week?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$2.35
- NO
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Connor McDavid record the most total points in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- NO
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Taira and Rębecki
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.00Aug 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.00Aug 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$2.00Aug 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$1.00Aug 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?$2.50Aug 10, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hulk" or "Hulkster" this week?$2.50Aug 5, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 317: Royval vs. Van$10.00Aug 5, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Taira and Rębecki$2.50Aug 2, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2.65Jul 28, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$2.50Jul 8, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?$5.00Jun 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 317: Royval vs. Van$5.10Jun 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid record the most total points in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?$11.80Jun 8, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Panthers make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.40Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jets make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.50Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.60Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110k in April?$2.00Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in April?$2.00Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$2.00Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$2.00Jun 8, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 25, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".