Caring-Liner
0xb9e1d47495a49b8e4b5667c6b50d4f9b0eeba3f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-249.64
Realised
$-5.78
Win rate
0%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
95 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crusaders win?
45 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?
28 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?
24 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
18 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$9.06Jun 18, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$1.03Jun 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$3.07Jun 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-19?$3.07Jun 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.85Jun 18, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.34Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.02Jun 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.03Jun 18, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$2.12Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.01Jun 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$3.19Jun 14, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.06Jun 14, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
58 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.