Cruel-Arrival
0xb9ebe02cca99ebaf122989fe3a94c72c742506e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-765.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Félix González come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Hornets$1.00Feb 28, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Hornets$5.17Feb 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Magic$2.92Feb 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Hornets$3.00Feb 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Raptors$6.00Feb 8, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Lakers$7.41Feb 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Lakers$4.00Feb 7, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Timberwolves$8.52Feb 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Timberwolves$2.13Feb 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Suns$18.00Jan 12, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Mavericks$14.81Jan 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Mavericks$4.00Jan 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Clippers$20.00Jan 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Heat$60.00Jan 3, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Wizards$18.97Jan 3, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Pacers$20.00Jan 3, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Pelicans$20.34Jan 3, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Pelicans$12.00Jan 2, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Bulls$14.00Jan 2, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Pacers$13.00Jan 2, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".