Reliable-Default
0xb9efc7564bc9471d8c6912443eb1f384f934410b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$99.88
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13871 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$34.68
$-85.30
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4077 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.27
$-35.73
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
27035 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$13.52
$-214.44
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2313 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$-11.90
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$-13.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2425 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.06
$-23.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.75
$-146.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
89 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.60
$-4.40
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.40
$-4.89
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.56
$-2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$7.94May 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.79May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.80May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$108.96May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.50Apr 28, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.00Apr 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$2.00Apr 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.95Apr 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$3.86Apr 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$5.00Apr 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$5.00Apr 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 23, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.