0xb9f085786246b014d561bb70318d8087d3f0dc0a
0xb9f085786246b014d561bb70318d8087d3f0dc0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$-2.9K
Win rate
0%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
134345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-343.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
22105 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
19515 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-90.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
9415 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-350.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?
2631 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-92.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 27?
2323 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-278.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?
2193 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-93.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?
1822 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-182.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?
1814 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-221.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
1473 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-46.30
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.67Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 5?$0.00Jul 6, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 5?$0.00Jul 6, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 5?$13.95Jul 6, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$18.79Jul 5, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?$9.70Jul 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 5?$1.53Jul 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 5?$5.39Jul 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?$0.74Jul 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$4.30Jul 5, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?$0.00Jul 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?$0.00Jul 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?$60.00Jul 5, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.70Jul 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$39.93Jul 4, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 4?$21.36Jul 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?$28.09Jul 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?$30.63Jul 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 4?$33.79Jul 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jul 4, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
57 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $16.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.