Nimble-Nightclub
0xba0e440a7a335638d4a31df69806226e62520eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.3K
Realised
$-7.5K
Win rate
3%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 7?
38054 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.7K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
1050 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-155.93
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 6?
991 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-255.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 6?
953 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-246.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 8?
950 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-244.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?
950 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-244.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?
950 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-243.97
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
570 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-152.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.69Aug 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.59Aug 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.04Aug 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.96Aug 21, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.57Aug 21, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.77Aug 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.18Aug 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.13Aug 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.64Aug 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.84Aug 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.55Aug 21, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.09Aug 21, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.43Aug 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.68Aug 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.54Aug 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.60Aug 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.88Aug 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.76Aug 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.67Aug 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05Aug 21, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
199 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.