Third-Galoshes
0xba11232d8f8446bb171607bfb30e1f5967a24d7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$24.35
Total PnL
$-67.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$9.71
$8.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 76.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.26
$0.23
- YES
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.23
$2.23
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
2 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.46
$0.45
- NO
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.10
$0.09
- NO
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.06
$0.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.92
$-0.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.80
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$4.80Jan 16, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$10.10Jan 16, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$1.91Jan 1, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.91Jan 1, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?$2.40Jan 1, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4.91Jan 1, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2025-12-26?$1.63Dec 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Trail Blazers$1.84Dec 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?$2.20Dec 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Wizards$3.88Dec 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2025-12-26?$1.01Dec 26, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$1.01Dec 26, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Trail Blazers$1.01Dec 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hawks$1.01Dec 26, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?$1.01Dec 26, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Wizards$1.01Dec 26, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$1.68Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Vikings: 1H Moneyline$1.74Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Lions (-7.5)$1.94Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Commanders$5.11Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.