0xba1d13abd439ab984f0b2f5545fa61ab40238720
0xba1d13abd439ab984f0b2f5545fa61ab40238720
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.30
Total PnL
$-8.36
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
4 shares @ 46.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.50
$1.87
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
2 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.37
$0.71
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.66
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?
432 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
82 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
44 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
34 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
32 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
13 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
12 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$1.00Jan 29, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$1.66Jan 29, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$1.00Jan 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$1.00Jan 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$0.39Jan 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$0.57Jan 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$2.41Jan 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$2.15Jan 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$1.00Jan 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$1.00Jan 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$1.00Jan 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $0.74Jan 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.00Jan 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.00Jan 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.00Jan 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?$0.03Jan 28, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 17:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.