Jolly-Trailpatrol
0xba1e941ea36cd75f47e44ec6134514e69545e0fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$23.03
Total PnL
$-201.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1841 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.89
$-109.11
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?
2009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?
1355 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?
1127 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.56
$-2.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
56 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?$2.10May 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?$3.15May 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?$3.15May 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?$5.25May 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$18.65Apr 28, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?$31.75Feb 1, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?$35.71Feb 1, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?$30.77Jan 31, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?$20.00Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?$20.00Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?$20.00Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$7.00Jan 26, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?$58.82Jan 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$5.00Jan 20, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$5.00Jan 20, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?$20.08Jan 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$5.00Jan 20, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?$5.00Jan 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?$20.00Jan 20, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".