Substantial-Amber
0xba217ba9ab78a540166153bded5fa9abdfc405ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$48.86
Total PnL
$-6.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.33
$13.33
- YES
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?
17 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$10.00Jan 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?$10.00Jan 17, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 17, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 17, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT ads by March 31?$10.03Jan 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by March 31?$5.00Jan 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$20.00Jan 16, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 15?$0.00Jan 16, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$52.78Jan 15, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 15, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 15, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?$0.00Jan 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 14, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".