Determined-Yellowjacket
0xba2962a1b9fb2b28ffcb7c5f8d887db235ce363b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.28
Total PnL
$-319.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.28
$0.28
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?
1132 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?
1053 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen onSeptember 27 ET?
692 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
626 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$342.91Oct 5, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$311.82Oct 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$192.31Oct 3, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$37.24Oct 3, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$141.48Oct 3, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$106.86Oct 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$247.46Oct 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$229.39Oct 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$255.31Oct 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$110.00Oct 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$300.00Oct 2, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.00Oct 2, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$84.35Oct 2, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$100.00Oct 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$100.00Oct 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$100.00Oct 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Oct 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$200.00Oct 1, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$20.00Oct 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$238.10Oct 1, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $128.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".