0xba2cb3168709dc3880243586448d6d67afc2bf17
0xba2cb3168709dc3880243586448d6d67afc2bf17
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-716.30
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
7888 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
5903 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
2786 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-979.10
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
2428 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-806.03
- NO
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?
1431 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-55.12
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
193 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-87.56
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
15 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
6 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.0KJun 4, 22:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.9KJun 3, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$15.6KMay 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?$1.16Apr 25, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$9.5KApr 23, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$212.74Apr 23, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.3KApr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.43Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.69Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14.19Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$7.34Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$89.51Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?$5.8KApr 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$63.77Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$124.00Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$53.58Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$15.29Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$93.42Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$8.33Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $931.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".