Past-Alb
0xba2f1587ba8fb55e477f5f1c8d96fe92149c25e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$17.57
Total PnL
$-589.53
Realised
$40.92
Win rate
100%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.75
$-3.15
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
800 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
237 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$-2.85
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.73
$0.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1310 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
485 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-6.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$9.00Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.15Jun 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.51Jun 11, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Jun 11, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $1.36Jun 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $4.95Jun 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $4.95Jun 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $0.74Jun 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.60Jun 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $2.10Jun 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$4.84Jun 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$12.00Jun 10, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$3.56Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$7.20Jun 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$9.50Jun 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $8.10Jun 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$22.40Jun 9, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.50Jun 9, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$18.20Jun 8, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.10Jun 8, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.