Simplistic-Hyena
0xba35e24b8ec45d431ba01714c7cde9e5410e5ecc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-315.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $180 in November?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1132 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
825 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
671 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$17.26Apr 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$29.88Mar 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.99Mar 30, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.79Nov 22, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$1.79Nov 22, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.62Nov 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.61Nov 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.72Nov 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$0.72Nov 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.74Nov 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.79Nov 19, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.