Exalted-Challenge
0xba361ae945e809d123cb27c20382c3f3182d27ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-47.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
3309 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2025$0.00
$-489.92
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
2000 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-202.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
555 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.34
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?
448 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-44.78
- YES
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
222 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 29 (12 AM ET Candle)
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?$210.34Aug 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$96.22Jun 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$106.47Jun 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 29 (12 AM ET Candle)$10.60May 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$369.35May 5, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$124.61May 4, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$98.00May 4, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$122.57May 4, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$91.69Apr 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$3.33Apr 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$104.00Apr 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$4.06Apr 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$123.91Apr 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$55.68Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$30.17Apr 11, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$69.00Apr 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$46.00Apr 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$65.40Apr 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?$97.89Apr 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card before June?$98.69Apr 11, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $121.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".