Ill-Informed-Position
0xba36f40cba7dd7597861f08f10adfb5145228d18
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-244.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
9400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-149.99
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
2597 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-40.47
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
1953 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.86
- NO
Fed rate cut by November 7?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by November 7?$5.00Sep 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$5.00Sep 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$9.65Sep 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 18?$50.00Sep 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$5.86Sep 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$5.00Sep 17, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?$4.00Sep 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 18?$50.00Sep 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$10.82Sep 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$20.00Sep 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$20.00Sep 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 18?$50.00Sep 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$9.00Sep 17, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $18.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".