Putrid-Randomisation
0xba3c501d7d88659039cd67a43354f28cb7ad3b2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$46.00
Total PnL
$-32.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
46 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$46.00
$11.96
- NO
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?
83 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.13
- YES
Will Trump say “Autopen” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
81 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-34.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) $3.40Jul 2, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) $12.96Jul 2, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Autopen” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$34.83Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$17.02Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$22.46Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$23.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$17.02Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? $9.13Jun 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$48.16Jun 30, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$26.66Jun 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$24.49Jun 30, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$2.10Jun 30, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEM2025 March hottest on record?$0.00Jun 30, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Zelenskyy in March?$0.00Apr 4, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?$0.00Mar 23, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?$53.00Mar 23, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?$53.00Mar 19, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?$16.25Mar 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?$2.76Mar 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?$13.44Mar 18, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.