Unconscious-Vendor
0xba3ea87b6a0d374aba6a2fe90f1bd3a8af840f98
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
24870 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-24.87
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
3994 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
663 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
511 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
305 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
302 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?
175 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Gavin Newsom recalled before July?
171 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.54Jul 3, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLGavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?$3.33Jul 3, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$1.00Jun 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$2.71Jun 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Tuesday?$1.00Jun 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Wednesday?$1.00Jun 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2.22Jun 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Monday?$1.00Jun 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Monday?$1.00Jun 24, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Monday?$1.00Jun 24, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Monday?$1.00Jun 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $4.28Jun 24, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian coup attempt before July?$1.00Jun 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?$1.00Jun 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran declare war on Israel before July?$1.00Jun 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?$1.00Jun 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$1.00Jun 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$1.00Jun 17, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.