Realistic-Moat
0xba41976a09367899ef785360b6f58016312a3976
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$71.31
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1109 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.1K
$65.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
701 shares @ 76.9¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$575.61
$36.94
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?
480 shares @ 84.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$369.97
$-35.62
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
29 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.68
$5.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$2.57May 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$15.08May 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$301.78May 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$69.38May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$23.47May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$1.01May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.16May 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$453.21May 25, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.97May 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.97May 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.38May 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$70.94May 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 24, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$27.60May 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.79May 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$365.31May 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$456.64May 22, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$145.40May 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.56May 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$230.58May 22, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $104.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".