Candid-Appeal
0xba440e07d381affbb5386dabe386584342937d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-201.98
Realised
$1.93
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 19?
834 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$830.31
$30.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?
810 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$809.49
$38.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?
398 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$397.91
$11.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 19?
243 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$242.84
$9.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 19?
195 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$194.95
$5.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 19?
163 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$162.17
$3.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 19?
94 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$93.53
$3.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?
58 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$57.58
$1.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on June 19?
35 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$35.42
$2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 20?
35 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$34.40
$0.57
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.