Vapid-Outrage
0xba4e1cb89e3fbb59aac25337317194a0a52022c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-5.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$2.86
$1.06
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 71.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.73
$0.49
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
6 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.80Jul 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.24Jul 16, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.38Jul 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.96Jul 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$2.83Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 26, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$3.52Jun 26, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$45.42May 31, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$29.79May 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$27.25May 7, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.00Apr 30, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$26.24Feb 7, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$32.20Feb 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$26.21Jan 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$32.14Jan 31, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$11.96Jan 22, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$14.39Jan 22, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$41.93Jan 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$11.89Jan 19, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$41.59Jan 19, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.