Knowledgeable-Premise
0xba647c79d91cde49d42c804bc832163b219c03a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-176.33
Realised
$11.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Russia enter Siversk by October 31?
183 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
91 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.76
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
90 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-29.71
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
80 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
80 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in October?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
44 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.25Feb 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?$2.24Feb 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.59Feb 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$1.59Feb 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?$2.32Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.24Feb 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.00Feb 28, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.09Feb 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.99Feb 28, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.05Feb 14, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$5.05Feb 6, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1.07Feb 5, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$1.07Feb 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$4.93Feb 4, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 4, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.00Feb 2, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.