Unwitting-Freighter
0xba6d4ae8eca781a5acb77eb49eb920a25a9d90a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$18.85
Total PnL
$-198.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$8.77
$-1.23
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
417 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.71
$-7.29
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
73 shares @ 13.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.37
$-7.63
- YES
Von der Leyen out in 2025?
121 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.56
- YES
Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
110 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Macron out in 2025?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
73 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-14.04
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
66 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$15.00Mar 6, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$8.00Dec 19, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.38Dec 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 10?$1.00Dec 9, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Dec 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.19Dec 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Dec 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$10.00Dec 5, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$6.25Dec 5, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$5.00Dec 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$5.00Nov 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Nov 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$5.00Nov 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.60Nov 22, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $10.00Nov 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Nov 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$10.00Nov 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 22, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.