Envious-Anise
0xba6e62e3fc1ec6e0bc81d769720cf95b58793c9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.60
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 15?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 16?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 19?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 15?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 26?$1.08May 26, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 26?$1.00May 25, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?$1.08May 23, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?$1.06May 22, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?$1.03May 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?$1.00May 21, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?$1.05May 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?$1.00May 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?$1.00May 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?$1.01May 20, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?$1.06May 20, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.00May 20, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.00May 20, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$1.28May 20, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$1.25May 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 21?$1.03May 20, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$2.11May 20, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 19?$1.05May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?$1.00May 18, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.