Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-562.28

Realised

$2.72

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 43

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026
$0.00
$-25.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
1235 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-44.96
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
720 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-67.66
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:31 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.35May 16, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.35May 16, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.35May 16, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.35May 16, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$26.73May 16, 14:55 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.03May 15, 20:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 20:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 20:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 20:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 20:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 20:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.30May 15, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.26May 15, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.35May 15, 20:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$16.70May 15, 20:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.05May 15, 20:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.05May 15, 20:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry16 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $11.17
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
Last active: May 16, 22:45 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:59:22 UTC·src:Polymarket Data