0xba747fd3e08538802def33645dcbd4a86ea1a3d3
0xba747fd3e08538802def33645dcbd4a86ea1a3d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
32 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
17 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.43
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.43
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
8 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.44
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.44
- YES
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-16?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?
7 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$5.13Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.30Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.43Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.40Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$5.23Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.49Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.42Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$5.25Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.44Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.45Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.44Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.50Feb 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.48Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.47Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.31Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.50Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.31Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.48Feb 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$5.46Feb 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.65Feb 8, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.