Flawed-Spring
0xba842580048aa52342cda3474d57f7828adf4091
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$29.41
Total PnL
$-157.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$29.41
$9.41
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
3000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
606 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?
335 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
278 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$36.00Nov 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$51.00Nov 6, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 8?$115.17Oct 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?$20.00Oct 7, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce final season Tuesday? $20.00Oct 7, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 8?$100.00Oct 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 7, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$20.00Oct 7, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $35.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".