Definitive-Mankind
0xba843a2b38c84a6b972b81563a8254c72649b857
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$273.53
Total PnL
$-557.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1236 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$115.56
$5.56
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
670 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.83
$-13.17
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
363 shares @ 16.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$30.89
$-29.91
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.19
$-89.81
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
490 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?
1284 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?
708 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
513 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.49May 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.25May 22, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.23May 22, 09:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.73May 21, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $67.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".