Lonely-Butcher
0xba8862217d5aa8a6ac4cfb79e1103bf2d63b8670
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.82
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.92
$1.92
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.90
$0.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 12AM ET
13000 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1PM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
24 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$100.0KDec 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$52.0KDec 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Dec 7, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.88Dec 2, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.00Dec 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.00Nov 29, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 28, 8AM ET$0.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 28, 8AM ET$3.92Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$4.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$6.00Nov 29, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 28, 8AM ET$2.00Nov 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 28, 3AM ET$3.00Nov 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 28, 1AM ET$2.00Nov 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.00Nov 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$3.00Nov 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$3.00Nov 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$3.00Nov 25, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.