Careful-Variation
0xba891d25a696683913bd5a731814f23daebc6844
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.92
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MUMBAI INDIANS
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
6 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings$5.00Apr 16, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants$4.84Apr 16, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants$2.00Apr 15, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders$1.76Apr 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants$1.00Apr 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders$1.00Apr 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.41Apr 12, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.30Apr 12, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 7, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 7, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?$1.30Feb 24, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.28Feb 22, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.