Alert-Flesh
0xba8b9240fd7b21b9815301ff62a5104c36873eb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$22.41
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.93May 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$10.41May 30, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.24May 30, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.50May 30, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?$11.85May 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?$11.72Apr 20, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.16Apr 20, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.49Apr 19, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.14Apr 19, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$11.90Apr 19, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.04Mar 27, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$11.89Mar 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$10.28Mar 16, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?$11.38Mar 16, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.76Mar 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.72Feb 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?$11.31Feb 26, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$10.27Feb 26, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of January?$10.35Feb 24, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $40 end of January?$11.71Feb 24, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.