Wallet digest

active

Activity score

59/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-945.69

Realised

$140.38

Win rate

73%

11 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
1430 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-54.10
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-9.29
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
697 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-88.82
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
453 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-56.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
390 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-94.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
352 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-46.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
333 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-74.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
315 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-18.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
315 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-94.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
306 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-46.95

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?$19.51Apr 11, 20:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.82Apr 11, 20:17 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$13.69Apr 11, 20:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$41.05Apr 11, 02:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$42.31Apr 11, 02:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$27.17Apr 11, 02:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$30.00Apr 11, 02:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$57.17Apr 11, 02:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$27.84Apr 11, 02:37 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$28.75Apr 11, 02:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$13.57Apr 11, 02:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$14.54Apr 11, 02:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$28.82Apr 11, 02:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$20.00Apr 11, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$19.99Apr 11, 02:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$50.00Apr 11, 02:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$20.52Apr 11, 02:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$15.55Apr 11, 02:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$93.03Apr 11, 02:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$20.00Apr 11, 02:26 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence37 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk43 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $35.81
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 10, 00:19 UTC
Last active: Apr 11, 20:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 11 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:24:33 UTC·src:Polymarket Data