Simplistic-Debris
0xba9c7afe9369b26231409f3d1e0e58f60fd997b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-202.08
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ET
1429 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-359.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
1144 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
1134 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-298.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 8, 3PM ET
996 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
766 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-610.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
734 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-480.23
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
654 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
537 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-39.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3PM ET
469 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-239.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.29Feb 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.44Feb 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$12.82Feb 13, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$12.83Feb 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$11.27Feb 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$11.42Feb 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$12.08Feb 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.64Feb 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.31Feb 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.41Feb 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.02Feb 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.