Defiant-Hour
0xbab0cf97fab31d12d754be3ab82d6dfe501ef131
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.16
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
91 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.89
$-1.11
- OVER
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
9216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- OTTO VIRTANEN
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak$10.09Jun 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$4.11Jun 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$2.06Jun 10, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?$20.08May 25, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$32.79May 25, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$38.46May 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?$20.00May 12, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.55May 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$20.29May 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$20.29May 12, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$7.8KApr 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$4.1KApr 25, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-1.5)$15.3KApr 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-1.5)$7.9KApr 24, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$4.49Apr 14, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$9.86Apr 14, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins$5.30Apr 9, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMArizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones$2.29Mar 16, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$4.17Mar 16, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack$4.92Mar 16, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $671.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.