Inborn-Analogy
0xbab2395dc4ad9fe030831191bf1e757c1c78f3f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.05
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-26.63
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.05
$-9.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
1020 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
706 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
553 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
454 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
404 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
284 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
280 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.54Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$50.00Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.65Jul 19, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$10.41Jul 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$10.80Jul 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$10.80Jul 19, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$15.23Jul 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$21.75Jul 19, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$21.78Jul 19, 05:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$21.56Jul 18, 18:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$175.00Jul 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$15.20Jul 15, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$15.22Jul 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$21.75Jul 15, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$29.44Jul 14, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.