Rare-Hardhat
0xbab9f4182779805e3e1ed3fcee3fbae9db569d74
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-12.80
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
21453 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-64.34
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
19756 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
6843 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.52
- YES
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
5780 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-23.99
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?
3627 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2654 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$45.61Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$18.75Jan 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$18.75Jan 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$13.12Jan 2, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$10.00Jan 2, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$20.00Jan 2, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$20.00Jan 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$6.52Dec 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$6.52Dec 30, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?$8.25Dec 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Dec 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?$16.78Dec 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.60Dec 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?$3.00Dec 26, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?$3.00Dec 26, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?$5.00Dec 26, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$4.00Dec 26, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$5.00Dec 26, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?$5.00Dec 26, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".