0xbabc008b31523d18c0f3a15df86513dc503bb904
0xbabc008b31523d18c0f3a15df86513dc503bb904
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$21.24
Total PnL
$3.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$14.46
$4.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?$2.02Aug 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.07Aug 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$2.08Aug 16, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$5.26Aug 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.02Aug 14, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$2.60Aug 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$2.02Aug 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$2.06Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$4.88Aug 12, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$0.00Aug 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$2.06Aug 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$2.06Aug 12, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$0.00Aug 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$4.08Aug 11, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$0.00Aug 10, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.06Aug 9, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$3.85Aug 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$2.05Aug 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$2.00Aug 6, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.