Truthful-Commercial
0xbacc6f340b763143ca7cf51066376558a6acdcb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.43
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 6.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.39
$3.34
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
6833 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3011 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.05Mar 23, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.09Mar 23, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 23, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.05Mar 23, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 4, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.00Feb 4, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.03Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 1850+ measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?$1.01Dec 12, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $637.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.