Competent-Cookie
0xbada2c4ca1c85ca1219c8476893d6a8a9cd07348
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.02
Realised
$-1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
48 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 2?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 14?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
15 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 2?
12 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.72Mar 18, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?$36.58Mar 1, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?$35.19Feb 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 4, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Feb 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$3.00Feb 3, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$0.00Feb 3, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$7.33Feb 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$5.00Feb 2, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?$5.00Feb 1, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?$2.77Feb 1, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$50.00Feb 1, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$21.85Jan 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$23.00Jan 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.15Jan 21, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$10.00Jan 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$49.12Jan 21, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.50Jan 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$9.12Dec 24, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".