Grimy-Gliding
0xbadb9eded0ebf8e38b84688ce552de31e5cb5c33
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$807.57
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
649 shares @ 32.1¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$476.36
$267.77
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 24.3¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$158.80
$-35.60
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1754 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$121.91
$44.73
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.50
$13.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 27, 2026?
2990 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 11?
2600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- KINGS
Hornets vs. Kings
1578 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Nuggets
1009 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.