Careless-Presume
0xbadf252fc2dad6e0cfbc71feb9d5b48ae54a120d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$115.06
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$-3.8K
Win rate
23%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?
137 shares @ 10.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$36.90
$23.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?
107 shares @ 9.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$33.73
$24.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 28?
140 shares @ 9.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$20.30
$7.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?
86 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$6.01
$-1.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?
71 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$6.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?
120 shares @ 9.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 28, 2026$5.10
$-5.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?
149 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.28
$-5.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 28?
112 shares @ 7.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.63
$-7.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28?
73 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.92
$-5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 28?
119 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.83
$-9.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?$1.86May 26, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?$0.53May 26, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?$0.17May 26, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?$0.21May 26, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?$0.20May 26, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?$0.09May 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?$0.30May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.16May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.13May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.13May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.10May 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?$1.00May 26, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.02May 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$0.12May 26, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".