Velvety-Logo
0xbae1798162d8e1bbe39862d0fe2656e4a7cebe54
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$7.70
Total PnL
$-496.10
Realised
$-20.06
Win rate
45%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Ethan Belchetz be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.09
$0.03
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.82Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.23May 31, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.22May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.73May 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.63May 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.33May 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.02May 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.38May 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.77May 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.02May 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.21May 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.09May 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.12May 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.20May 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.76May 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.39May 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.25May 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.65May 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.57Apr 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.00Apr 21, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.