Subdued-Dawn
0xbae18f55f869ed4d04030fb71be47eccaa053a47
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$315.29
Total PnL
$-112.22
Realised
$8.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
82 shares @ 29.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$74.31
$50.28
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
929 shares @ 13.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$42.28
$-83.88
- YES
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
176 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.87
$8.79
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
579 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.47
$-22.64
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
529 shares @ 11.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.10
$-33.22
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
40 shares @ 18.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.20
$5.00
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
258 shares @ 7.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.48
$-8.34
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
371 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.93
$-11.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.33May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.11May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$10.00May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$19.58May 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$1.33May 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$0.01May 15, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.11May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$0.01May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$0.17May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$0.17May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$14.99May 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$15.40May 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$1.75May 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.84May 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$4.64May 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$8.81May 14, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".