Portly-Raiment
0xbae4c400e517546776458a5348a492bf46d9fa6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
121 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
55 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
51 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.35Apr 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$4.00Mar 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Mar 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Feb 28, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$10.00Feb 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-02-08?$0.01Feb 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$5.00Feb 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$2.00Feb 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.63Feb 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.00Feb 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.00Feb 10, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".