Warm-Phenomenon
0xbae6fd69009a2dae2eac0e19d2004fb57181961c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.24
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KOLKATA KNIGHT RIDERS
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders
175 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- RAJASTHAN ROYALS
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals
124 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 30?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
37 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.04May 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.12Apr 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals$1.00Apr 19, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals$1.00Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals$12.36Apr 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$12.84Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders$1.00Apr 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Apr 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".