Alert-Spy
0xbae7a45ff652f03ae0ab6715428913136081f623
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-102.92
Realised
$-4.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?
4 shares @ 49.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.00
$2.04
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
3904 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
2457 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-37.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?$104.18Nov 4, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?$110.83Nov 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?$108.00Nov 4, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?$100.00Nov 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?$0.87Nov 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?$1.00Nov 4, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?$54.50Nov 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?$100.00Nov 4, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$21.00Oct 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$16.27Oct 29, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$16.00Oct 29, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$33.00Oct 29, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 29, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 29, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$14.00Oct 29, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 29, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $44.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".