Passionate-Shirtdress
0xbae7f2d351c091c8c8005fdd374f149b57af29ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$23.00
Total PnL
$0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
12 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.00
$1.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?
11 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$11.00
$0.31
- YES
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?$10.69Aug 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.10Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.13Aug 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?$0.20Aug 7, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.00Aug 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.06Aug 7, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$21.98Jul 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$5.74Jul 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$7.99Jul 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$15.23Jul 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$0.27Jul 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$21.98Jul 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$28.97Jul 13, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 90-99 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?$0.00Jul 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMBase airdrop in Q1 2025?$11.50Jul 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$10.80Feb 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 90-99 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?$0.11Feb 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase airdrop in Q1 2025?$11.27Feb 17, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$10.59Feb 17, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$11.99Feb 17, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".