Worse-Lending
0xbaf3a6c4ad4c47ab59fe433a38476d2dc2fda699
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$71.44
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$144.79
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$71.44
$61.44
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
20775 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-193.89
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
17249 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-188.89
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
9602 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-174.22
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
9286 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-73.49
- YES
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
7300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-95.92
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5422 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-156.12
- NO
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
5400 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-186.46
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
3667 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$4.11Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.32Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.06Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.02Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.70Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.21Nov 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$4.05Nov 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.19Nov 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.34Nov 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$20.00Nov 12, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$2.21Nov 12, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$2.79Nov 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.97Oct 29, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$13.03Oct 29, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$62.85Oct 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$8.00Oct 1, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.83Sep 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.08Sep 29, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.00Sep 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.03Sep 28, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.