Tight-Communicant
0xbaf7c2745bc7d14a9fd9a1045c7195702b95b7f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$108.79
Total PnL
$27.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
28 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$28.21
$7.04
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
24 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$23.71
$13.71
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.99
$2.99
- NO
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$12.20
$2.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$11.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$10.32
$0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$20.64May 30, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$10.00May 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$0.00May 14, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 14, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be Black?$16.67May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be Black?$15.00May 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$41.04May 7, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$10.00May 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$5.00May 4, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 2?$5.06May 4, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?$10.56May 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$10.00May 2, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla name a new CEO before July? $10.00May 2, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 2?$5.00May 2, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$5.00May 2, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?$10.00May 2, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May?$0.00May 2, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?$0.00May 2, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$11.17May 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$10.00May 2, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.